## Data Science for Decision Support: Or why Bayesian Analysis matters

One of the distinctions I like to make about modern ‘Data Science’ is between ‘data science for decision support’ and ‘machine learning’.  h Basically speaking machine learning, which is often product-focused – is generally something like ‘there’s this problem in fraud, credit scoring’ and we need an automated and deployed system. You’ll often work super… Continue reading Data Science for Decision Support: Or why Bayesian Analysis matters

## Introduction to Probabilistic Programming Primer

I’ve got an online course called Probabilistic Programming Primer You may be wondering what that’s all about, so I put together a video explainer all about it. Building easy to interpret models isn’t a nice to have anymore it is the reason people pay for models in the first place. And as we see more… Continue reading Introduction to Probabilistic Programming Primer

## State of PPL: How are Bayesian methods used in industry?

I recently put together a survey of over 100 data scientists and analysts. There’ll be a report coming super soon, but before then I wanted to share the infographic. We’ll go into more detail in the report. If you’d like to get access to the report you should sign up  here 70 percent of data scientists… Continue reading State of PPL: How are Bayesian methods used in industry?

## Think you need to learn Bayesian Analysis? Read this first

Bayesian Analysis the good parts One of the questions I’m often asked is what’s so powerful about Bayesian analysis? I speak regularly to analysts, who’ve heard of some of the powerful aspects of it, but haven’t heard enough to emotionally invest time in learning it. I’ve thought about this on and off for a few… Continue reading Think you need to learn Bayesian Analysis? Read this first

## 3 reasons to learn Bayesian Statistics in the new year

What is Bayesian Statistics Bayesian Statistics (or Probabilistic Programming) take a more effective and deep approach to perform analysis of any given data and situation. A/B testing is one of the hottest topics on the internet nowadays. In this testing, you simply consider two different groups, A and B, to analyze the performance of both… Continue reading 3 reasons to learn Bayesian Statistics in the new year

## Applications of Bayesian Statistics: Supply Chain

Bayesian Statistics and Supply Chain Supply Chain can be thought of as a set of procedures that are coordinated to combine manufacturers, suppliers, warehouses, and stores in order to ensure proper production and distribution of material of right quantities at the right location and in right time. This, in turn, ensures that the total supply… Continue reading Applications of Bayesian Statistics: Supply Chain

## New Screencast: How do I build a Logistic Regression model the Bayesian way?

One question that is often asked by those who know Machine Learning to me is how do I build a Bayesian Logistic Regression model? If you know how to build a logistic regression model in sklearn or a standard machine learning library it’s quite easy to learn how to do the Bayesian version. In this screencast… Continue reading New Screencast: How do I build a Logistic Regression model the Bayesian way?

## What is BFMI (Bayesian Fraction of Missing Information)?

I recently gave a talk to the excellent research team at Signal Media. And got asked the question I didn’t want to be asked. It was what is the BFMI in PyMC3? The way I largely think of it is, in a practical level – which is – if the BFMI metric is below the… Continue reading What is BFMI (Bayesian Fraction of Missing Information)?

## Why would I ever NEED Bayesian Statistics?

Probabilistic Programming versus Machine Learning In the past ten years, we’ve seen an explosion in Machine Learning applications, these applications have been particularly successful in search, e-commerce, advertising, social media and other verticals. These applications have been particularly focused on predictive accuracy and often involve large amounts of data — sometimes in the region of terabytes — in fact this… Continue reading Why would I ever NEED Bayesian Statistics?

## How do I visualise the results of a Bayesian Model: Rugby models in Arviz

I’ve been recently playing around with ‘arviz’. For those of you who don’t know Arviz is a library for exploratory analysis Bayesian Models. I’ve got a Bayesian model built – or someone has built one for me, how do I explore it? How do I plot it? This is the fundamental question that Arviz answers.… Continue reading How do I visualise the results of a Bayesian Model: Rugby models in Arviz